The economy is in a contraction phase if GDP is shrinking, unemployment is high and companies are reporting slow growth and weak profits 💰
During the contraction phase, since businesses are struggling, stock prices typically fall 📊
If GDP declines for two quarters in a row, the economy enters a recession
The last time this happened was in 2008 when the housing market crashed and millions lost their jobs 💔
So what can you do to navigate a contraction or recession as an investor? 🤔
First, don't panic and sell everything just because your investments are going down 🙅♂️
However, you could consider moving some money away from stocks into less volatile, lower-risk assets like cash or bonds, especially when interest rates are high!
As a stock investor, focus on high-quality companies with strong balance sheets that can weather the storm and grow in the long-term 🌧️
Some sectors that tend to hold up better in recessions are consumer staples, utilities and healthcare – in other words, goods and services that people need no matter how the economy is doing! 🍞🩺
It can also be a good time to look for opportunities to buy stocks at discounted prices 💸
The stock market often overreacts to economic challenges, surfacing potentially undervalued stocks!
Just like how expansions always end in a peak, contractions – and recessions – eventually end with a trough, and markets have always recovered from them 💪
Let’s explore that next!